synthetic-control

Six Ways to Evaluate a Policy using R: Comparative Case Studies of Proposition 99

Did the 1988 California cigarette tax reduce cigarette sales, and do different methods agree on how much? This R tutorial applies six ways of evaluating a policy to the same data and finds that most point to a drop of roughly 13 to 20 packs per person each year. It comes with an interactive app that runs in your web browser.

Bayesian Spatial Synthetic Control: California's Proposition 99 in R

How much did the 1988 California tobacco tax reduce cigarette sales? We build a look-alike California from other states and also measure how the policy spilled over to neighboring states such as Nevada, where people cross the border to buy cigarettes. This R tutorial comes with an interactive app that runs in your web browser.

The Synthetic Control Method in Stata: Did Proposition 99 Cut Smoking in California?

Did the 1988 tobacco tax and anti-smoking campaign in California cut cigarette sales? In Stata, we use the synthetic control method, which builds a look-alike California from a mix of other states, and find that sales fell by about 19 packs per person per year. It comes with an interactive app that runs in your web browser.